New Riemannian Priors on the Univariate Normal Model

The current paper introduces new prior distributions on the univariate normal model, with the aim of applying them to the classification of univariate normal populations. These new prior distributions are entirely based on the Riemannian geometry of the univariate normal model, so that they can be thought of as “Riemannian priors”. Precisely, if {pθ; θ ∈ Θ} is any parametrization of the univariate normal model, the paper considers prior distributions G(θ̄, γ) with hyperparameters θ̄ ∈ Θ and γ > 0, whose density with respect to Riemannian volume is proportional to exp(−d(θ, θ̄)/2γ), where d(θ, θ̄) is the square of Rao’s Riemannian distance. The distributions G(θ̄, γ) are termed Gaussian distributions on the univariate normal model. The motivation for considering a distribution G(θ̄, γ) is that this distribution gives a geometric representation of a class or cluster of univariate normal populations. Indeed, G(θ̄, γ) has a unique mode θ̄ (precisely, θ̄ is the unique Riemannian center of mass of G(θ̄, γ), as shown in the paper), and its dispersion away from θ̄ is given by γ. Therefore, one thinks of members of the class represented by G(θ̄, γ) as being centered around θ̄ and lying within a typical distance determined by γ. The paper defines rigorously the Gaussian distributions G(θ̄, γ) and describes an algorithm for computing maximum likelihood estimates of their hyperparameters. Based on this algorithm and on the Laplace approximation, it describes how the distributions G(θ̄, γ) can be used as prior distributions for Bayesian classification of large univariate normal populations. In a concrete application to texture image classification, it is shown that this leads to an improvement in performance over the use of conjugate priors. Entropy 2014, 16 4016